Tropical Low formation likely in the Timor Sea.

 

G'day everyone

We are likely to see a weak tropical low (11U) develop near the northwestern Top End sometime tomorrow or Monday, before moving west into the Timor Sea and potentially starting to strengthen.

 

The tropical low is then expected to continue moving west, first through the Timor Sea, and then into the Indian Ocean. The tropical low (11U) is likely to develop within a deepening trough over the western Top End of the Northern Territory or adjacent waters.

 

It is expected that if the tropical low develops in the trough, it will likely track west to southwest over the Timor Sea and possibly intensify into a tropical cyclone near or inside the Western Region mid next week.

Cheers,

Tropical Low Development Likely

Tropical Hazards

Storm Tracks (ECMWF/Ensemble)